Automakers' large-scale transition to new energy vehicles is accelerating the decarbonization progress of the transportation industry

Six Chinese automakers are now selling 100% new energy vehicles, while overseas companies, represented by Tesla, are also driving the electrification of passenger vehicles.

With the advancement of global energy transition, the carbon emissions of NEVs during their usage phase will continue to decrease. Thus, Chinese automotive companies are expected to play a greater role in accelerating the decarbonization progress of transportation industry in China and globally.

Automotive Company LOGO Country of Origin Main Product Commitment to Stop Selling Gasoline Vehicles 2023 Proportion of NEV Sales
NIO-SW China NEV Yes 100%
BYD China NEV Yes 100%
XPENG-W China NEV Yes 100%
LI AUTO-W China NEV Yes 100%
LEAPMOTOR China NEV Yes 100%
Hozonauto China NEV Yes 100%
Polestar Sweden NEV Yes 100%
Rivian U.S.A. NEV Yes 100%
Tesla U.S.A. NEV Yes 100%
SERES China NEV Yes 60%
Renault France Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 40%
Volvo Car Sweden Gasoline Vehicles + NEV Yes 38%
JAC China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 31%
Nissan Japan Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 29%
GEELY AUTO China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 29%
Toyota Motor Japan Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 26%
Honda Motor Japan Gasoline Vehicles + NEV Yes 25%
BMW Germany Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 25%
SAIC MOTOR China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 22%
GAC GROUP China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 22%
GWMOTOR China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 21%
Mercedes-Benz Germany Gasoline Vehicles + NEV Yes 19%
CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 19%
Ford U.S.A. Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 18%
Hyundai Motor Korea Gasoline Vehicles + NEV Yes 13%
Subaru Japan Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 10%
Jaguar Land Rover United Kingdom Gasoline Vehicles + NEV Yes 10%
KIA Korea Gasoline Vehicles + NEV Yes 8%
Chery China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 8%
GM U.S.A. Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 8%
JMC China Gasoline Vehicles + NEV No 2%

Automotive-Steel and Aluminum Green Supply Chain Collaborative Carbon Reduction Evaluation Results

Automotive Supply Chain Collaborative Carbon Reduction: Challenges

  1. (1)Measurement Data is Difficult to Obtain, Emission Factors Need Improvement

    The number of upstream suppliers in the automotive industry chain is vast, making it difficult for automotive companies to implement low-carbon procurement requirements across all stages of the supply chain. A significant challenge lies in the lack of established, industry-wide consensus on standards for calculating the product carbon footprint in the automotive industry chain. This, coupled with emissions factors lacking regional representativeness for China, increases difficulty for automotive companies in calculating and disclosing supply chain emissions data. The lack of clarity in automotive companies' supply chain emissions not only hinders the establishment of emission baselines, the setting of reduction and neutrality targets, and breaking these targets down to upstream emission hotspots, but also makes it difficult to impose quantitative emission reduction requirements on suppliers of steel, aluminum, battery materials, etc.

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  2. (2)Lack of Consensus on Low-carbon Emission Steel and Aluminum Makes it Difficult to Confirm the Green Product Attributes

    There is no consensus among parties on the definitions of 'low-carbon emission steel/green steel' and 'low-carbon emission aluminum/green aluminum'. This results in a vague definition of green product attributes, a lack of uniform standards, and an insufficient transparency in certification processes. Most steel and aluminum companies have not disclosed product carbon footprint information. Even in disclosed product carbon footprints, there is no explanation of the use of green electricity in the steel and aluminum smelting process, nor the proportion of recycled materials. This hinders automotive companies from understanding the implicit carbon levels in raw materials and choosing steel and aluminum products with lower carbon emissions.

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  3. (3)Limited Recycled Materials and the Need for Improvement in Recycling Mechanisms Hinder Low-carbon Transition

    One of the core paths for emission reduction in the steel and aluminum industries is the use of recycled materials, which reduces the fossil energy and electricity in the metal smelting process. Currently, the supply of recycled steel and aluminum in China is still insufficient, and there is a lack of integrated industrial chain from recycling to reuse. In addition, multiple grades and different performance characteristics of aluminum alloys are used in automotive materials, and there is no unified standard for aluminum alloy grades among different automotive companies. This means only a small portion of the recycled scrap aluminum meeting the performance requirements for automotive aluminum, while the majority can only be downgraded for use.

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  4. (4)'Green Premium' for Low-carbon Automobiles Needs to be Addressed by Internalizing the Costs

    The green premium between electric vehicles and gasoline vehicles has significantly decreased with technological advancements . However, promoting emission reductions in steel and aluminum materials production still result in green premium at this stage. There is a lack of incentive mechanisms to reduce the procurement costs of low-carbon emission materials. The consumers' willingness to pay for the “green premium” for low-carbon products is also significantly lacking. This is not conducive to internalizing the negative externality costs.

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Automotive Supply Chain Collaborative Carbon Reduction: Opportunities

  1. (1) The Expansion of Renewable Energy in China and the Implementation of Dual Carbon Policies Support the Low-carbon Transition of the Automotive Industry

    The implementation of China's carbon peaking and carbon neutrality '1+N' policy system not only proposes a roadmap and targets for the low-carbon transition of the automotive industry chain but also provides policy support for the implementation of emission reduction actions.  The continuous expansion of China's renewable energy industry offers solutions for carbon-intensive industries, including those upstream and downstream of the automotive industry chain, to carry out emission reduction actions.

  2. (2) The Automotive Carbon Footprint Methodology and Emission Factor are being Expedited to Support Emissions Accounting

    In recent years, multiple ministries, industry associations, and research institutions are accelerating the development of product carbon footprint accounting methodologies and the construction of the emissions factor database. Meanwhile, industry associations and research institutions in the automotive, steel, and aluminum sectors are continuously advancing the development of China's product carbon footprint methodology and promoting the establishment of a product carbon footprint disclosure platform.

  1. (3) Digital Solutions Empower the Automotive Industry Chain to Enhance Carbon Management Capabilities and Enable Multi-stakeholder Participation

    IPE has developed and continuously optimized a series of digital tools for carbon data accounting, carbon target setting, and information disclosure. These tools aim to assist enterprises across the automotive industry chain in efficiently and cost-effectively collecting supply chain data, empower suppliers to set emission reduction targets, enhance the level of information disclosure on supply chain and product carbon footprints, and assist public supervision.

Recommendations for Promoting Collaborative Carbon Reduction in the Automotive Industry Supply Chain

  • Recommendations for automotive companies

    Leverage the purchasing power and set quantifiable green procurement requirements.

    Improve the accuracy of Scope 3 and product carbon footprint data accounting, set science-based greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, and encourage core material suppliers to set their own emission reduction targets.

    Accelerate the application of renewable energy, energy-saving and low-carbon metallurgical technologies, and recycled materials in the supply chain. Improve environmental information disclosure and disclose product imapct information.

  • Suggestions for the regulatory authorities

    Improve carbon accounting standards for the automotive industry chain.

    Accelerate the establishment of product carbon footprint management system for the automotive industry chain and emission factor database in China.

    Establish internationally recognized rules for sustainable development information disclosure in the automotive industry chain.

    Promote the establishment of unified and standardized low-carbon material certification standards.

  • Recommendations for banks and other financial institutions

    Develop diversified financing mechanisms to support the development and application of key technologies in the automotive industry transformation.

    Guide financing automakers and suppliers to enhance their carbon information disclosure levels.

Note: The content on this page is from IPE's 'Automotive-Steel and Aluminum Green Supply Chain Collaborative Carbon Reduction Research and Evaluation Report' published in 2024.

Automotive-Steel and Aluminum Green Supply Chain Collaborative Carbon Reduction Research and Evaluation Report

Download the full report

Transportation industry accounts for 16% of global greenhouse gas emissions, with the processing and manufacturing of raw materials as emission hotspots. At the same time, the steel and aluminum smelting industries are major contributors to China's industrial carbon emissions. The automotive industry urgently needs to innovate and explore pathways for collaborative carbon reduction with suppliers, to incentivize and accelerate the innovation and application of low-carbon green technologies, and to drive the low-carbon transition of steel and aluminum enterprises. With the support of the Energy Foundation, IPE conducted research on the 'Collaborative Decarbonization of Automotive, Steel, and Aluminum Green Supply Chains'. The research focuses on engaging the automotive industry to set and disclose supply chain carbon reduction targets, implement low-carbon procurement requirements, and incentivize hard-to-abate industries such as steel and aluminum smelting to accelerate the production and supply of low-carbon products, thereby assisting the automotive industry's decarbonization process, supporting China's 'dual carbon' goals, and contributing to global climate change governance.

Publication Date:2024-12-13
  1. (2)Lack of Consensus on Low-carbon Emission Steel and Aluminum Makes it Difficult to Confirm the Green Product Attributes

    Currently, there is no consensus among parties on the definitions of 'low-carbon emission steel/green steel' and 'low-carbon emission aluminum/green aluminum'. This results in a vague definition of green product attributes, a lack of uniform standards for the emission limits of low-carbon or zero-carbon products, and an insufficient transparency in certification processes. These increase the difficulty for automotive companies in selecting low-carbon materials and bring higher uncertainty to the planning of supply chain emission reduction pathways.

    IPE’s analysis of mainstream green labels, certifications, and initiatives in the steel and aluminum industries (Table1 and Table 2) shows that in the steel industry, the Responsible Steel™, recognized by many automotive companies, defines 'Near Zero Steel' as having a carbon footprint of 0.05-0.4 tons CO2e per ton of steel (from cradle to gate), but does not make requirements on metallurgical processes, scrap usage, or the proportion of renewable energy. The SteelZero Initiative proposes that 50% of steel used by 2030 should be low-emission, but does not define what constitutes low-emission steel. The Climate Bonds Initiative issued its criteria for Steel Industry, focusing primarily on the carbon emission intensity per ton of steel for facilities or companies using different processes, rather than the lifecycle carbon footprint. Meanwhile, some steel companies like Baosteel Co., Ltd., ArcelorMittal, have released their own definitions of low-carbon emission steel products.

    Table 1 Definitions, Initiatives, and Labels of Mainstream 'Zero Carbon' and 'Low Carbon Emissions' Steel
    Initiatives, standards, and definitions related to low-carbon emission steel in the steel industry
    Initiative/Standard Name Main Content or Requirements Initiator
    Responsible Steel Basic/Level 1: 0.35-2.8 (tCO2 per ton of steel) (100% - 0% scrap)
    Level 2: 0.25-2.0 (100%-0% scrap)
    Level 3: 0.15-1.2 (100%-0% scrap)
    Level 4 (Near Zero): 0.05-0.4 (100%-0% scrap)
    The ResponsibleSteel™ International Standard
    First Movers Coalition-Steel commitment Crude steel from breakthrough technology production facilities. Per IEA guidance, the steel should emit <0.4 (0% scrap inputs) to <0.05 t (100% scrap inputs) of CO2e per tonne of crude steel produced
    At least 10% (by volume) of all our steel purchased per year will be near-zero emissions (as per FMC definition) by 2030”
    Weforum & First Movers Coalition
    SteelZero Initiative Organisations that join SteelZero make a public commitment to buy and use 50% low emission steel by 2030, setting a clear pathway to using 100% net zero steel by 2050. The Climate Group
    NET-ZERO STEEL INITIATIVE The Net-Zero Steel Initiative (NZSI) aims to put the global steel sector on a path to reach net-zero emissions by 2050 by:
    Partnering with an international group of steel industry leaders
    Bringing zero-carbon primary steel production technologies to market by 2030
    Accelerating the growth of scrap-based production
    Focusing on supply dimensions
    Demonstrating how steel can be a key part of a net-zero economy
    Mission Possible Partner
    Climate Bonds Initiative’s Criteria for Climate Bonds for the Steel Industry Facility standards:
    Taking 2022 as the boundary, the emission reduction paths and evaluation standards for facilities commissioned before and after 2022 are different.
    For example, if an electric arc furnace (EAF) primarily using scrap steel for steelmaking is commissioned after 2022, the scrap steel used by the facility must account for 70% of the total annual raw material. Alternatively, the combined usage of scrap steel and (100%) hydrogen direct reduced iron should account for at least 70% of the total annual raw material smelted by the electric arc furnace.
    For DRI production lines commissioned before 2022, if the plant primarily uses coal: a series of decarbonization measures have been or will be implemented on the facility, and the emission intensity of the facility (ton CO2/ton steel) has been or will be reduced by 40% during the period from 2022 to 2030.

    Corporate Standard:
    Corporate emission reductions must at least meet the IEA emission reduction pathway thresholds: Primary Steel (Primary Steel) in 2020 is 2.38, and by 2050 it is 0.12 tons of steel carbon dioxide equivalent; Secondary Steel (Secondary Steel) from 0.75 in 2020 to 0.12 tons of steel carbon dioxide equivalent by 2050
    Climate Bonds Initiative
    Industrial Deep Decarbonization Initiative (IDDI) IDDI is advocating for governments to set procurement targets for the purchasing of decarbonized steel and cement and creating the tools to do so UNIDO
    STEEL STANDARDS PRINCIPLES Common emissions measurement methodologies to accelerate the transition to near zero; consistent with the IEA “Net Zero Principles” World Trade Organization
    Science-Based Targets for the Steel Industry Absolute emission reduction targets, reducing 4.2% of the baseline annually Science-Based Targets Initiative
    Net Zero Carbon Steel/Carbon Neutral Steel The greenhouse gases emitted into the atmosphere during steel production can be balanced with the emissions collected from the atmosphere using carbon sink facilities World Steel Association
    Corporate Low Carbon Product Labeling and Definition
    Label Name Main Content Initiating Company
    BeyondECO™
    Low-carbon emission steel
    BeyondECOTM is a low-carbon product brand officially launched by Baosteel in 2022, including low-carbon and zero-carbon steel products. For example, 'BeyondECO-30%' refers to steel that has a 30% reduced carbon footprint compared to Baosteel's equivalent product in 2020.
    Baosteel Co., Ltd. explores low-carbon process paths for automotive steel and has completed trial production of low-carbon cold-rolled and hot-dip galvanized automotive products; The product carbon footprint has been verified by a third party, and the product reduces carbon by more than 60% compared to conventional processes.
    Baosteel Co., Ltd.
    XCarb™ XCarb™ green steel certificates are specifically designed for ArcelorMittal’s flat steel products made from iron ore in a blast furnace.
    These initiatives range from our flagship Smart Carbon projects, such as Torero and Carbalyst, to capturing hydrogen-rich waste gases from the steelmaking process and injecting them into the blast furnace to reduce our use of coal.EPDs are available for six products which are manufactured via the Blast Furnace route and are eligible for XCarb® green steel certificates.
    Three EPDs for Flat Products are available with XCarb® recycled and renewably produced
    ArcelorMittal
    ECONIQ STEEL Econiq™ NZ is the world’s first net-zero carbon steel at scale, certified for Scopes 1 and 2, with the option of Scope 3.
    Econiq™ RE certifies that your steel or steel products were made with 100% emission-free and/or renewable electricity.
    Econiq steel will extend that leadership even further, utilizing 100% renewable electricity and high-quality carbon offsets to negate any remaining Scope 1 and 2 emissions.
    Nucor
    GREENSTEEL GREENSTEEL aims to recycle and upcycle the growing amount of scrap steel, using electric arc furnaces powered by renewable energy. LIBERTY Steel UK
    Fossil-free steel Fossil-free steel will be made by a completely new technology using fossil-free electricity and hydrogen Volvo Cars
    Green steel Green steel: Low-CO2 blast furnace steel with sianificantly reduced C02 emissions in the blast furnace process Nissan

    In the aluminum industry, there is a significant difference in the emission reduction targets among different initiatives. The Aluminum Stewardship Initiative (ASI) imposes limits on the average emissions per ton of aluminum from mine to metal ingot, such as requiring entities that started production in or before 2020 to have average emissions per ton of aluminum below 11tCO2e, or to demonstrate at least a 10% reduction in the past three years, and to set targets of below 13tCO2e by the end of 2025 and below 11tCO2e by the end of 2030. The Pioneer Alliance - Aluminum Initiative calls for companies to have cradle-to-gate carbon dioxide emissions per ton of aluminum less than 3 tons by 2030.

    Table 2 Mainstream 'Zero Carbon', 'Low Carbon Emission ' Aluminum Definitions, Initiatives, and Labels
    Initiatives, Standards, and Definitions Related to Low-carbon Emission Aluminum in the Aluminum Industry
    Initiative/Standard Name Main Content Initiator
    Aluminum Stewardship Initiative (ASI) Certificate It is recommended to conduct greenhouse gas-related disclosures according to GRI; the disclosed data must be verified; Clearly state the need to disclose emissions data (including Scope 3) and energy usage;
    There are emission reduction requirements for greenhouse gas emission intensity: for entities starting production after the year 2020, the average ton of aluminum emissions from mine to metal aluminum ingot should be less than 11tCO2e/t Al ; Entities that began production before 2020 (including 2020) have an average aluminum emission from mine to metal ingot of less than 11 tCO2e /t Al, or have demonstrated at least a 10% emission reduction over the past three years, and have set targets to be below 13 tCO2e /t Al by the end of 2025, and below 11 tCO2e /t Al by the end of 2030.
    Aluminum Stewardship Initiative
    Low Carbon Products Refers to products whose carbon emissions data meet the low carbon evaluation criteria compared to similar products or products with the same function.
    Carbon emission indicators can be confirmed based on the advanced carbon emission intensity values of the industry or can be determined by referring to the advanced level of the industry.
    Specification for the Evaluation of Green Low-Carbon Products: Electrolytic Aluminum Products (Aluminum Ingot)
    Green Electricity Aluminum Electrolytic aluminum products produced using green electricity, including primary aluminum liquid and aluminum ingots for remelting. China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association Group Standard: Guidelines for the Evaluation and Trading of Green Electricity Aluminum
    First Movers Coalition-Aluminum At least 10% (by volume) of all our primary aluminium procured per year will be low-carbon (as per FMC definition) by 2030 Emitting <3 t of CO2 per tonne of aluminium produced, including all emissions from cradle to gate In addition to our primary aluminium commitment, we commit to ensuring that at least 50% of all aluminium we procure per year is sourced from secondary aluminium by 2030 World Economic Forum and First Movers Coalition
    Science-Based Targets - Aluminum Industry Absolute emission reduction targets, reducing by 4.2% annually Science-Based Targets Initiative
    Corporate low-carbon product labels and definitions
    Label Name Main Content Initiating Company
    Revolution-Al™ Revolution-Al™’s main improvement is that it is 15-20% stronger than the traditional - and less colourfully named - wheel alloy, A356.2. This translates to a 7% weight reduction and better fuel efficiency or battery range. The lighter, stronger wheels also mean better performance and handling and reduced tire wear——are easy to recycle. Rio Tinto
    ELYSISTM The ELYSIS technology effectively puts an end to the use of carbon anode in the aluminium smelting process. It features the newly developed breakthrough proprietary materials that are stable and do not react during the process. Thus, it eliminates all direct greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the aluminium smelting process and is the first technology ever that emits oxygen as its by-product ELYSIS
    Hydro REDUXA Hydro REDUXA is our brand of low-carbon aluminium. Using renewable energy from water (hydro power), wind and solar, we can produce cleaner aluminium, reducing the carbon footprint per kg of aluminium to 4.0 which is less than a quarter of the global average. Hydro
    Hydro CIRCAL Hydro CIRCAL is our brand of premium, low-carbon and recycled aluminium containing at least 75% post-consumer scrap. Through the use of such a high share of post-consumer scrap, Hydro CIRCAL has a market-leading average carbon footprint of 2 kilo CO2-equivalents (CO2e) per kilo aluminium. The production process is fully traceable from scrap to the recycled metal per batch, and the product is verified by DNV, an independent third party. Hydro
    Near-zero carbon aluminum The ambition is to deliver first commercial volumes of aluminium with 0.5-1 kg CO2/kg aluminium, through the value chain, already next year Hydro
    Recycled aluminum We aim to use 40 per cent recycled aluminium in our new models, from 2025, and have a carbon footprint target of 4 kg CO2 per kg on ingot level for our consumption of primary aluminium. Volvo Cars
    Green aluminum Green aluminum: Aluminum that is electrolytically smelted using only electricity generated by solar power Nissan

    Apart from the unclear definition of low-carbon emission steel and aluminum, most steel and aluminum companies have not disclosed product carbon footprint information. Even in disclosed product carbon footprints, there is no explanation of the use of green electricity in the steel and aluminum smelting process, nor the proportion of recycled materials. This not only hinders automotive companies from understanding the implicit carbon levels in raw materials and choosing steel and aluminum products with lower carbon emissions, but also prevents all parties from reaching consensus on the standards for 'low-carbon emission steel' and 'low-carbon emission aluminum,' thereby assisting automotive companies in planning the optimal path for supply chain emission reduction.

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